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7/2 Mlb Redsox @ Devilrays 710 Pm Est

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Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

- A winning streak will be on the line for the Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday when they battle the Boston Red Sox at Tropicana Field.

The Red Sox will trot Daisuke Matsuzaka out to the mound in this one. Righthander Matsuzaka has a 9-1 record and a 3.21 ERA this season.

The Rays will counter Matsuzaka with ace Scott Kazmir. Lefthander Kazmir has a 2.28 ERA to go along with a 7-3 record this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Rays listed as 144-moneyline favorites versus the Red Sox, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Rays won their fourth straight over the Red Sox at home with a 3-1 victory on Tuesday, as -125 favorites. The four runs fell UNDER the posted over/under (8.5).

Dioner Navarro went 2-for-4 at the plate and drove in two runs for the Rays. Matt Garza tossed seven innings for the win, allowing one run off five hits.

J.D. Drew drove in the only run for the Red Sox with a sacrifice fly. Tim Wakefield surrendered two runs over seven innings of work in the loss.

The Red Sox were +110 underdogs in that game.

Current streak:
Boston has lost 4 straight games.
Tampa Bay has won 3 straight games.

Team records:
Boston: 50-36 SU
Tampa Bay: 51-32 SU

Boston most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
Before playing NY Yankees are 5-5
After playing Tampa Bay are 6-4
After a loss are 6-4

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 2-8
Before playing Kansas City are 4-6
After playing Boston are 5-5
After a win are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
 
no fuckin' way I bet that sox pitcher
he's a good example of what stats aren't valuable when forecasting pitching performance
9-1 3.21 era is impressive

issuing almost as many walks as strikeout's indicates very poor control
some really awful performances and he gets the win
e.g. 5.0 IP 2 H 8 BB 1 K
walks 8 in 5 innings?
only 1 earned run because the bullpen saved his ass
every 3rd or 4th start is similar
he's like that pitcher in bulldurham

kazmir is far better
boston's lost 4 tampa's won 3
rays at home

this should be -170
 
I still remember that piching line from bull durham

5 IP 5H 5Runs 5 walks 5 strikeouts and 5 wild pitches
 
gjohnson5 said:
I'll bet as well that Boston is not swept
losing bet
always bet the team that has been winning more recently absent of other considerations
winning ball is winning ball
bet the positive trend
as long as the price is good

MLB is about betting prices

what you're sayin' is bet a negative is going to turn
in their park?
 
and you're betting a wild pitcher on a foreign mound
against a young team at home on national TV that happens to have the best W-L record in the majors?

I was correct on my assesment of matsuwhatever
he walked 4 of the first 6 or so batters he faced
that's disaster waiting to happen
he's been very fortunate to have such poor core pitching stats and be 9-1 with a 3ish era
 
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