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11/23 Turkey Day NFL: Miami at Detroit

swole

Well-known member
The Miami Dolphins and the Detroit Lions will both be trying to pick up a win on Thursday when they battle at Ford Field.

Oddsmakers currently have the Dolphins listed as 3-point favorites versus the Lions, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Dolphins sank Minnesota 24-20 as a 3-point favorite last week. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (33.5).

Joey Harrington completed 26-of-42 passes for 254 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Ronnie Brown was held to two rushing yards on 12 carries.


The Lions lost to Arizona 17-10 as a 2.5-point underdog last week. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (45.5).

Jon Kitna completed 23-of-38 passes for 248 yards with an interception. Arlen Harris rushed for 40 yards and a touchdown on 10 carries.

Current streak:
Miami has won 3 straight games.
Detroit has lost 2 straight games.


Team records:
Miami: 4-6 SU, 3-7 ATS
Detroit: 2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS


Miami most recently:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on turf are 2-8
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 7-3

Detroit most recently:
When playing in November are 2-8
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 3-7


A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
Detroit is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games


Next up:
Miami home to Jacksonville, Sunday, December 3
Detroit at New England, Sunday, December 3
 
Definitely a tricky event, but I'd take Miami based on the even money.
 
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