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10/4 cfb illinois @ michigan 330 abc

hurricane

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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan Wolverines

- The Illinois Fighting Illini and the Michigan Wolverines will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Michigan Stadium.

Oddsmakers currently have the Wolverines listed as 3-point favorites versus the Fighting Illini, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

Illinois lost 38-24 to Penn State in Week 5, as 15-point underdogs. The combined 62 points made it OVER the posted total of 54.5.

Arrelious Benn caught four passes for 110 yards and two touchdowns in a losing effort.

Michigan rallied from a 19-point halftime deficit to upset Wisconsin 27-25 in Week 5.

The Wolverines covered the 5-point spread, while the combined score played OVER the day's posted total of 42.

Team records:
Illinois: 2-2 SU, 1-2 ATS
Michigan: 2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS

Illinois most recently:
When playing in October are 2-8
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 6-4

Michigan most recently:
When playing in October are 10-0
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
Illinois is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Illinois is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Michigan
Illinois is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Illinois is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Illinois
Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Illinois
Michigan is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Michigan is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
 
I think Michigan is being sculpted for one reason...to beat Ohio State. A side effect of that is they'll be able to run with the SEC. In 3 years I bet they dominate the big ten.
 
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