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12/17 NFL: Denver at Buffalo

swole

Well-known member
Buffalo has lost 4 in a row overall. They do not want to make it 5 against Denver Saturday.

Buffalo brings a 4-9 overall mark (2-3 in the division) into this game versus a Denver team carrying a 10-3 record.

Oddsmakers like the Broncos in this one, opening the line at 7.5 in favor of Denver. They are 8-4-1 ATS this season, while the Bills are 6-7. The total, which is 6-7 to the OVER in Bills games and 8-5 to the OVER in Broncos games, has been set at 35.

Denver won at home against Baltimore last game as 14-point favorites, tallying a score of 12-10. The total sailed under.

Meanwhile, Buffalo comes off a 35-7 loss against New England, a game where they were 3.5-point underdog. The game went over the closing total of 38.

If there's an area Denver should be able to take advantage of the Bills this week, its the running game. The Broncos are 2nd in the league with their ground game, while the Bills give up a whopping 141.7 yards per game, rated 31st in the league.

Some trends to consider:
Denver is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games after scoring 10 to 20 points
Denver is 4-2-0 ATS in its last 6 away games against Buffalo
Denver is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games after being 10.5 to 14 point favorites
Denver is 6-2-0 ATS in its last 8 games
Buffalo is 6-1-0 ATS in its last 7 games after being 3.5 to 7 point underdogs
Buffalo is 4-1-0 ATS in its last 5 games after scoring less than 10 points
Buffalo is 4-1-0 OU in its last 5 games against Denver
Buffalo is 4-1-0 OU in its last 5 games at home against Denver

Next up:
Denver home to Oakland, Saturday, December 24
Buffalo at Cincinnati, Saturday, December 24
 
Denver can clinch a home game, possibly Division Title and possibly even second seed this week. They're definately going to bring thier "A" game.
 
boys looks like we got ourselves a convoy
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