if you ever did want a bookie event on Bonds going yard in a single game
I'd start with a base 25% chance and then adjust for pitchers and ball parks
might be a good idea to check if he's in the lineup too
I was going 5to post a karma bookie event but then I realized that Bonds might not play. With that in mind I'd probably get a no homer pile on which would bleed me dry if he in fact did not play.