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12/11 NFL: New England at Buffalo

swole

Well-known member
Buffalo looks to use home field advantage to get an important division win Sunday against the Patriots.

Sporting a 7-5 overall record and a 3-0 mark within the division, the Patriots aim to knock the Bills (2-2 in the division) for a loss.

The Patriots (5-7 ATS) opened as 3.5-point favorites and they face a Bills team that has covered 6 of their 12 games this season. The total opened at 38.

Last time out, at Gillette Stadium against New York, the Patriots as favorites defeated New York 16-3. The game was a New England cover and an under play.

Meanwhile, Buffalo comes off a 24-23 loss against Miami, a game where they were 5.5-point underdog. The game went over the closing total of 36.

Expect New England to try to air it out on the Bills' pass defence. They come in with the league's #3 passing attack, averaging 263.2 yards per game, and will be looking to show it off.

Some trends to consider:
New England is 1-12-0 OU in its last 13 games against Buffalo
New England is 1-6-0 OU in its last 7 games away against Buffalo
New England is 1-5-0 OU in its last 6 games
New England is 2-5-0 ATS in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 5-0-0 ATS in its last 5 games after being 3.5 to 7 point underdogs
Buffalo is 4-1-0 SU in its last 5 games after being 3.5 to 7 point underdogs
Buffalo is 9-3-0 ATS in its last 12 home games
Buffalo is 9-4-0 OU in its last 13 at home

Next up:
New England home to Tampa Bay, Saturday, December 17
Buffalo home to Denver, Saturday, December 17
 
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