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11/26 NFL: New Orleans at Atlanta (1 Million Plus Limit)

swole

Well-known member
If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Sunday when the New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons meet at Georgia Dome.

Oddsmakers currently have the Falcons listed as 3-point favorites versus the Saints, while the game's total is sitting at 48.

The Saints lost to Cincinnati 31-16 as a 3-point favorite last week. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (52).

Drew Brees completed 37-of-52 passes for 510 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions for New Orleans. Devery Henderson caught nine passes for 169 yards.

The Falcons were clipped by Baltimore 24-10 as a 3.5-point underdog last week. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (41.5).

Michael Vick completed 11-of-21 passes for 127 yards with a touchdown for Atlanta. Warrick Dunn rushed for 52 yards on 15 carries.

Current streak:
New Orleans has lost 2 straight games.
Atlanta has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
New Orleans: 6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS
Atlanta: 5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS

New Orleans most recently:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 4-6

Atlanta most recently:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games on the road
Atlanta is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Atlanta is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games
Atlanta is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing New Orleans

Next up:
New Orleans home to San Francisco, Sunday, December 3
Atlanta at Washington, Sunday, December 3
 
I can't bet on atlanta
it's like betting on the coin toss
you don't know which vick will show up
 
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