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2/5 NFL: SUPER BOWL XL (Seattle vs. Pittsburgh UPDATED SPREAD)

swole

Well-known member
The Pittsburgh Steelers and Seattle Seahawks will contest Super Bowl XL at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, February 5. It's the first time a No. 6 seed (the Steelers) has reached the title game, and it's the first Super Bowl trip for the Seahawks franchise.

Seattle sits as a small dog in this one, as the line opened at 3 in favor of the Steelers, who are 12-7 ATS this season. The Seahawks are 11-6-1 ATS. The OVER/UNDER opened at 47 points.

In the NFC title game at Qwest Field against the Panthers, the Seahawks as favorites defeated the Carolina Panthers 34-14. The game was a Seattle cover and an OVER play.

Meanwhile, at INVESCO Field at Mile High, the underdog Pittsburgh Steelers were winning their third straight road playoff game, defeating the Denver Broncos 34-17. The game was a Pittsburgh cover and an OVER play.

Seahawks coach Mike Holmgren knows how to get it done, as he coached the Green Bay Packers to a Super Bowl title. Steelers coach Bill Cowher hopes to avenge his last Super Bowl appearance and win his first title as a head coach.

Pittsburgh knows that beating the Seahawks depends on stopping the run (and Shaun Alexander). Alexander has carried the ball 40 times and put up 141 yards total in the postseason, with two touchdowns.

The Steelers will largely depend on QB Ben Roethlisberger, who has completed almost 70% of his pass attempts for 999 yards in three playoff games thus far. Also, look for Jerome Bettis to carry the running load for Pittsburgh, as he's notched three touchdowns in the postseason.

Some trends to consider:
Seattle is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games after scoring 31 to 40 points
Seattle is 3-6-0 OU in its last 9 games against Pittsburgh
Seattle is 17-9-0 OU in its last 26 games
Seattle is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 13-2-0 SU in its last 15 games after being .5 to 3 point underdogs
Pittsburgh is 6-1-0 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 6-1-0 ATS in its last 7 games after scoring 31 to 40 points
Pittsburgh is 5-1-0 SU in its last 6 games after scoring 31 to 40 points


SU: 15-3
ATS: 11-6-1

SU: 14-5
 
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Steelers will win by 2 touchdowns and a field goal.
 
slat1 said:
How bad do I want to bet it all on the Steelers!!!
Don't worry. Since I am not betting I will have no effect on the outcome!

The fact that you want to bet on the Steelers is probably why Palamalu got hurt in practice yesterday.
 
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