hurricane187 said:
u aint kiddin bro .. im on a 15-4 run betting baseball...yet im down about 2.5 mill since the all-star gm
.. im getting killed bookin .. and slayer already got cracked to red also .. shyt gotta turn around sooner or later .. lol
are you guys following my pitching evaluating advice?
I look at:
strikeouts per IP (dominance)
strikeouts per BB (control)
hits and BB per IP (effectiveness)
that's all you need
ignore ERA-it's a useless stat
and then I look at those core stats in the last 3-5 starts
I place a premium on what you've done lately
I look at the overall 2008 stats and compare them against 07/06 to see how a pitcher is doing compared to his historical trends
mostly for a frame of reference
and then team wise I look at the past 10 game record and streaks
e.g. if I spot a pitching mismatch
but the favorable pitcher's team trend is his team has lost 2 straight
while the other team has won 2 straight
will influence whether I bet
baseball is streaky
I rarely bet heavy favorites (-170+)
subtract the top 2 teams and bottom 2 teams in each league
and they mostly play .500 ball