Seattle is starting to play better football and my math model favors the Seahawks by 10 1/2 points with big play receiver Deion Branch back in the lineup and with Rex Grossman at quarterback for the Bears. Grossman was horrible as the starter in the first 4 games and isn't as likely to be as good as Brian Griese was (6.2 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 6.2 yppp to an average QB). Seattle does apply to a negative 35-62-1 ATS letdown situation, but that angle isn't strong enough to keep me from leaning with Seattle.