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Jim Layhoe

Elite Bodybuilder

Posts: 812
From:ONTARIO,CANADA
Registered: May 2000

posted August 17, 2000 11:39 PM

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Do any of you guys and gals follow the stock market?
I am going to invest some cash in blue chip shit.


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BigTruck

Pro Bodybuilder

Posts: 326
From:Beyond The Pale
Registered: Jun 2000

posted August 18, 2000 11:15 AM

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Yah, I dally a little bit. I don't know how old you are, but if you're younger and ameneable to risk, you might consider something with a little more zip. Blue-chips tend to be pretty conservative. I do have some money in blue-chips, but I also have money in electronics, communications and technology. Biotech is something to start watching again too. Mutual funds are a great way to get your feet wet.


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burndaddy

Cool Novice

Posts: 20
From:California
Registered: Aug 2000

posted August 18, 2000 11:26 AM

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I also toss some coin around, not alot but enough to know simple things like mutuals have done alot better for me than vegas ever did. Check out online some solid perfomers like Janus and Vanguard. You wont get rich quick but the idea is to build enough so that when your 50 y/o you can live happy and fat.

....burn....


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Jim Layhoe

Elite Bodybuilder

Posts: 812
From:ONTARIO,CANADA
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posted August 18, 2000 01:09 PM

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Yah, i don't want to get rich quick.
I already have a head start so i want to invest it, and take a low risk.


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moe dank

Freak

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From:compton, california
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posted August 18, 2000 01:15 PM

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diversify, diversify, diversify. Your portfolio should be like 1/2 mutual funds, 1/4 high risk, and 1/4 low risk. TECH, TECH,TECH, BIO, TECH, TECH TECH!

unless you want to be rich quick then it is momentum trading all the way!!


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2EZ2BRICH

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 95
From:NY
Registered: Mar 2000

posted August 18, 2000 01:39 PM

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it's my job my friend. series 7, 63, 55, 24 and 4. heheh

check out: INSP. ADI, CSCO, SIMG, SNDK, CNXT, SEBL SUNW

just to name a few hehehe

2ez2brich in NYC hehe


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Jim Layhoe

Elite Bodybuilder

Posts: 812
From:ONTARIO,CANADA
Registered: May 2000

posted August 18, 2000 01:43 PM

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Thanx will do


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AUSTIN

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 98
From:Ottawa
Registered: Jul 2000

posted August 18, 2000 03:00 PM

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JDSU is a big mover in the Fiber optics industry. A real good long term investment


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MattTheSkywalker

Moderator

Posts: 1344
From:Atlanta GA
Registered: Jan 2000

posted August 18, 2000 06:48 PM

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CISCO and Sun.

Here's why - there are 6 billion people. There are roughly 300million Internet connections. Lot of room for growth. The bigger the Net gets, the bigger Cisco gets.

Another reason: Something called IPversion6 is coming out. This is a new implementation of IP addressing that will allo things like your toaster and other things to be connected.

Sound stupid? It isn't - picture: your alarm clock goes off, coffee maker starts, etc. You can program your VCR over your cell phone, etc.

Cisco and Sun will be leaders in this realm.

Mr Dank is generally right about diversifying. But then again, there are plenty of people who probably wish they owned more Dell and less other shit 10 years ago.

You really can't go wrong with Cisco. Sun is a great one too.

Matt


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Jim Layhoe

Elite Bodybuilder

Posts: 812
From:ONTARIO,CANADA
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posted August 18, 2000 10:55 PM

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Thanx i will look into everyones advice.
Now what about some dollar stock?


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Basement Dweller

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 53
From:Metro Detroit, MI
Registered: Apr 2000

posted August 19, 2000 12:51 AM

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Unless you have a lot of spare time to watch the individual stocks, I would go with a few mutual funds. Sure it's run to do the E-trade thing, but most people make less return than they would have in mutual funds. Mutual funds have less risk, and they manage the portfolio for you. Assuming you are young, put most of it in growth funds (moderate/high risk). Toss the remainder in growth and income (low/moderate risk), or maybe some overseas funds for when the US economy goes in the tank. Avoid the bond funds (low return, no risk) until you are nearing retirement, or thinking about withdrawing the money for a planned expense.

------------------

Basement Dweller


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GQ

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 83
From:Canada
Registered: Feb 2000

posted August 19, 2000 05:40 AM

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Even better than mutual funds, you might want to look into Index Funds. These securities are designed to track a particular index benchmark (eg - nasdaq, dow, tse). Index Funds have MER's (management expense ratios) up to ten times less than the MER's of most mutual funds. Also, these investments are easy to follow and track because their value is derived from the value of certain market indices. You wonder how your investment in the TSE is doing? Turn on the tv, check out if the index is up or down for the day, and you'll know whether your investment is up or down. In fact, your investment will be up or down by exactly the same percentage that the index is up or down for the day. Diamonds (dia), tracks the dow jones industrial average; (qqq) tracks the nasdaq 100; Spiders (spy) tracks the S&P 500; tips and hips tracks the TSE, to name a few.

GQ


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superdave

Elite Bodybuilder

Posts: 613
From:Phobos moon, Milky Way Galaxy
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posted August 19, 2000 10:07 AM

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bump for GQ, apparently he knows his shit.

------------------
Redemption.


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Jim Layhoe

Elite Bodybuilder

Posts: 812
From:ONTARIO,CANADA
Registered: May 2000

posted August 20, 2000 05:27 PM

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bump

------------------
JIM LAYHOE [email protected]


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baza

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 104
From:steroidworld.com
Registered: May 2000

posted August 20, 2000 11:36 PM

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I check out some of the ones that you guys suggested and most of them are around $50+/share. Wouldn't you need to have a lot of $$ to really make anything on these choices?


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Jay Z

Elite Bodybuilder

Posts: 1069
From:MI
Registered: Feb 2000

posted August 21, 2000 12:37 AM

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Yea you would. just invest over time.

------------------
Sign the petition now at LegalizeSteroids.com,DecriminalizeSteroids.com, or SignThePetition.com!


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Jim Layhoe

Elite Bodybuilder

Posts: 812
From:ONTARIO,CANADA
Registered: May 2000

posted August 21, 2000 01:39 AM

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bump

------------------
JIM LAYHOE [email protected]


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baza

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 104
From:steroidworld.com
Registered: May 2000

posted August 21, 2000 01:48 PM

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Does anyone have any tips for lower valued shares, say $1-$20?


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BigTruck

Pro Bodybuilder

Posts: 326
From:Beyond The Pale
Registered: Jun 2000

posted August 21, 2000 03:26 PM

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GQ -- "Even better than mutual funds, you might want to look into Index Funds. "

Even better? I'm sure you didn't mean that. First of all, technically, an index fund is a mutual fund. That aside, there are many mutual funds that have consistently outperformed index funds over the years. It's true that most mutual funds have higher management costs than index funds, but a lot of them outperform them significantly, thus more than making up for the higher management costs. (besides, we're talking within half a point difference in costs for most) Don't get me wrong -- index funds have their place, but saying they are better is totally inaccurate -- they're just a different kind of fund that may or may not be appropriate to your situation and outlook.

I know you probably didn't mean it to sound the way it came off, but I just wanted to take a moment to clarify that for people that aren't familiar.
-----
For others, another interesting way to invest is sector funds -- you can buy sectors of industry like technology, electronics, etc... They fluctuate a lot more than conventional funds because they hold fewer companies, but they can be lucrative if you've got a stomach for risk...

If you're new, I'd stick with mutual funds (which could include index funds) to get your feet wet.


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Jim Layhoe

Elite Bodybuilder

Posts: 812
From:ONTARIO,CANADA
Registered: May 2000

posted August 21, 2000 05:57 PM

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.

------------------
JIM LAYHOE [email protected]


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GQ

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 83
From:Canada
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posted August 21, 2000 09:05 PM

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BigTruck, it's nice to find another member of the board with an interest and understanding of the markets.

First off, you're right; I didn't mean to unequivocally claim that index funds are always better than conventional mutual funds. I realize that there are a *few* money managers out there with strict investment disciplines that have outperformed the S&P by 1, 2, or even 5% annualized over more than 20 years (if you can get your money into these funds, that's great). But let me point out that the vast majority (about 80-90%) of actively managed funds underperform the market each year. Even the best active managers get burned-- Warren Buffett's hot streak finally ran out in the first half of this year didn't it? Mean reversion does finally win out in the long run.

Moreover, there is formal research that conclusively shows that, in the long run, indexing beats most actively managed funds and by a significant amount (check out "A Random Walk Down Wall Street," if you haven't already read it). The only people who contest this evidence are active fund managers who don't want to lose their paying customers.

In conclusion, my perspective is that most individual investors are better off buying and holding onto index funds, rather than meddling with securities or actively managed mutual funds. Not only will a broad range of index funds outperform a professionally managed portfolio in the long run, but investors can avoid expense charges and trading costs, which decrease returns. It's difficult to get further into this unless you have knowlegde of modern portfolio theory.

PS- I like sector funds too.

GQ


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Jim Layhoe

Elite Bodybuilder

Posts: 812
From:ONTARIO,CANADA
Registered: May 2000

posted August 21, 2000 11:49 PM

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Hey guys this is great i'm going to see a F.Adviser and i want to be armed with knowledge. Please keep it rolling.

------------------
JIM LAYHOE [email protected]


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Pokemon

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 219
From:las vegas, Nevada
Registered: Apr 2000

posted August 22, 2000 01:21 AM

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I really don't care for mutual funds or any kind of funds. Its too conservative for a young player. I had several mutual funds before, one was with PBGH, it took them 3-4years just to double my money. To me, thats tooooo conservative.

Mutual funds have the same risk as buying a single stock, and a single stock CAN outperform a mutual fund in one day!!! Its a matter of what stocks you own. Mutual fund is just a collection of stocks some money manager put together and call it a portfolio and hope for the best. If you do decide to go with a mutual fund, go with the NO LOAD ones, meaning that you don't have to pay a commision to your broker. Most old folks and non risk taking chump stick to funds. my $.02

And another reason why I don't play funds is that you can't make $$$ when the market drops. YES, you can make $$$ when the market tank, its called "shorting", your buying high and selling low, meaning that your buying to [borrow] that stock from someone who owns it and selling it back to them at a lower price you got it for. You pocket$ the difference. Its just the opposite of "long", buying low and selling high. So on ANY given day, you can make $$$$ regardless of the market prerformance. I just use the market as benchmark to decide weather to go long or short for that particular stock. On some days, I can make 60% of what I invested in for that stock. I average 3-4K a day just trading, and YES I trade on margin. Not bad for a kid who droppd out of med school, brought a 98 Winnebago (cash,up front), tour America and meet different women huh? (I love camping at nudist camp site).

my advice: watch CNBC and profit from it.


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GQ

Amateur Bodybuilder

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From:Canada
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posted August 22, 2000 04:09 AM

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I agree with most of what Pokemon is saying, but bro, 3-4 yrs to double your money is too conservative? That's a 20%+ annualized return; pretty damn good considering the historical average market return is in the neighbourhood of 10-12%. However, it does pale in comparison to 3-4k per day.

I like how you pointed out that "a mutual fund is just a collection of stocks some money manager put together, called it a portfolio, and hoped for the best." This is the basic premise of the Random Walk Theory.
It argues that, in the long run, it is impossible to consistently "beat" the market, and that a blindfolded monkey would have just as much success as a so-called professesional money manager in selecting a portfolio of stocks. I don't want my hard earned money in the hands of a blindfolded monkey, do you BigTruck? (LOL)

Btw- Pokemon, I'm very interested in getting into trading myself. Do you work at a day-trading firm or from your home using some kind of Level 2 quote system? I've been reading books on the subject on day-trading lately, can you recommend any good ones? I'd be interested to hear from you as I'm trying to learn all I can about day-trading.

PS- shorting is an advanced technique; do not try this at home unless you are a sophisticated investor or have some inside information (if you do let me know, LOL).

Later bros,
GQ


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BigTruck

Pro Bodybuilder

Posts: 326
From:Beyond The Pale
Registered: Jun 2000

posted August 22, 2000 11:38 AM

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I would maintain that most people don't have the base to properly diversify in stocks. That's why people buy into mutual funds in the first place. Aside from that, if you do have the base and properly diversify, what you've created is your own custom "fund" -- a private mutual fund if you will � in other words, the same thing as a fund!

Pokemon, thank you, you helped me prove my point about actively managed funds versus index funds -- your funds, according to what you and GQ said, outperformed the market by a good 8 - 10 percent over the 3 � 4 year period that you mentioned.

GQ see above. Also, where did you get this information about most index funds outperforming managed funds (not doubting you, just interested)? In my portfolio alone, I have Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund (FBGRX) it has a 10-year return of 21.05% versus S&P of 17.65%; Fidelity Contrafund (FCONX) � 20.83% versus 17.65%; Fidelity Dividend Growth Fund (FDGFX) has a 23.29% annualized return since inception in 1993. Those are just a few of what I have (see below for more examples of my holdings), I didn't even research other funds to provide as examples.


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BigTruck

Pro Bodybuilder

Posts: 326
From:Beyond The Pale
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posted August 22, 2000 11:40 AM

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It's true that a stock can gain 50% in a day, but by the same token, it can lose 50% of its value in a day too. It's easy to make money in a market like this, everybody's jumping in � have you ever heard the saying about all your eggs in one basket? If you're trying to play a handful of individual stocks, chances are, sooner or later you'll get smacked for it (although I sincerely wish you the best). We'll see how much the relative safety of funds is pooh-poohed if/when the market turns south or a particular sector is depressed.

But, if you like the thrill of stocks, with the advantage of diversification, try sector funds. After all, there's funds to fit all types of outlooks, risk levels and performance characteristics. Pokemon, you could have easily gotten into more aggressive funds if you so chose. There's hundreds of different funds, you can't make the blanket statement that ALL are too conservative. It's simply not true. Want examples? Try the Ameridino Technology fund (ATCHX), it showed a 249% return in 1999. Fidelity Select Technology has a 1-year of 87.12%, a 10-year of 34.19%.


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BigTruck

Pro Bodybuilder

Posts: 326
From:Beyond The Pale
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posted August 22, 2000 11:41 AM

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You like to play the market? If you'd have gotten in during the dip when I did on Fidelity Select Technology (FSELX) and Fidelity Select Developing Communications (FSDCX), you'd have made a 23.5% and 31.06% return in an 8-week period, with diversification! (As a sidenote, FSELX has a 1-year of 106.8%, a 10-year of 37.02%; FSDCX has a 1-year of 79.25%, a 10-year of 31.44%). Hardly "blind monkey" funds.

NOTE: These types of funds I don't recommend to those with weak stomachs � they can have drastic swings, just like individual stocks.

As far as paying loads, I agree for the most part that no-load is the way to go, BUT if a fund performs better than its peers (i.e. Select Funds mentioned above), it may be worth paying the load. Plus, many times if you are buying in an IRA, the loads are waived.

Fuck I've spent a lot of time on this! Oh well, hopefully it's for the greater good.


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2EZ2BRICH

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 95
From:NY
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posted August 22, 2000 12:21 PM

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historically, stocks have always done better than mutual funds with respect to long term investing. diversification is a great way to go.

i prefer to invest in stocks. my biggest earnings have been made in: ADI, INSP, CSCO, SEBL, MSFT, ORCL, SUNW, ITWO just to name a few. i am an investor not a trader.

2ez2brich - series 7, 63, 55, 24, 4


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BigTruck

Pro Bodybuilder

Posts: 326
From:Beyond The Pale
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posted August 22, 2000 12:40 PM

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2EZ -- We're getting away from the original purpose of the thread, but if you want to compare stocks to funds in this context, you have to exclude all funds that don't hold 100 percent of their assets in stock. Of course if you average in funds that hold bonds or other investment vehicles, the mean average of funds will be lower than stocks. That's because many funds are not designed for appreciation, but for other purposes (i.e. income, tax-shelter, etc.)

Once you compare apples to apples, what you're making is a blanket statement that all individual stocks have beaten all collections of individual stocks. Doesn't make sense huh?

Historically, some individual stocks have outperformed some individual mutual funds. Some mutual funds have outperformed some individual stocks.


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Pokemon

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 219
From:las vegas, Nevada
Registered: Apr 2000

posted August 22, 2000 01:43 PM

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GQ, YES I short trade at home. CNBC (NEWS)is all you need and a few other resource off the internet. But before you short, you better have a good understanding of that particular stock price pattern in relation to the market and it better be bad news. True, the long term investor always win. But if the opportunity is there for you to short, you bet I will. I play long and short every day and sometime both on the same stock at the same time. Remember, you only lose when you sell at a lost!!!!

Big Truck, you seem to be pretty big on funds. Those are some attractive percentage you put up there. You are aware that the money manager (mm) compare their funds to the Russell 1000, S&P 500, and the market. But did you know that these same mm also move the Russel, S&P, and the market up and down by doing institution buying and selling. They are adjusting their benchmark to make their funds more attractive. The key is when to pull out to receive that % gain. Those percentage will fluxuate (spelling?)same as stock prices. Clear as mud? Back to the 'game'.


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Pokemon

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 219
From:las vegas, Nevada
Registered: Apr 2000

posted August 22, 2000 02:10 PM

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just to let you know, I do put 20% of my profit in mfunds and 65% in real estate and 15% reinvesting stocks. My mfunds is not that aggressive, maybe thats why Im bitter about it.


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BigTruck

Pro Bodybuilder

Posts: 326
From:Beyond The Pale
Registered: Jun 2000

posted August 22, 2000 02:37 PM

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Pokemon -- I do like funds, particularly for those just getting started or those that don't have enough money to diversify in stocks. There's some really lucrative funds out today.

That said, I like individual stocks too, but I think it gets a lot more complicated when you go that route, thus perhaps making it inappropriate for beginners. (which is what the original purpose of this thread was) I went on about funds because I thought a few things needed to be cleared up based on some comments in the thread.

For people that know what they're doing in the market (and that have money), stocks are fantastic. Sounds like you're jamming with them! Congrats! I've got my fingers in a few stocks and have my eye on a few more as we speak (er.. type). Peace bro.


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Pokemon

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 219
From:las vegas, Nevada
Registered: Apr 2000

posted August 22, 2000 03:03 PM

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Big Truck, i don't want you to think that i have a "Big Head" about this. I crash and burn MANY times in this game. For every success story i have, i have two failure stories to tell you. Thats how i learn. My other passion is working out. HeHeHe
Peace bro...


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2EZ2BRICH

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 95
From:NY
Registered: Mar 2000

posted August 22, 2000 04:06 PM

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BigTruck; hehehe

i made a very broad statement that historically stocks outperform mutual funds. yet, this is taken from historical data bro. i'd be willing to bet my bonus that you could not find one person that would disagree with this. this is a fact that is taught in investment 101, undergrad. i am also perplexed about your statement that i said that "all" individual stocks have beaten "all" collections of individual stocks. this is not true. i could loose my license by saying anything close to this. Stocks, mutual funds, bonds, CD's, UIT, treasuries, warrants etc are all considered debt instruments my friend. not sure what you mean by me not comparing apples to apples. i compared one debt instrument to another. you have taken one sentence i made and went on a tangent my friend. if you like to compare notes we can. but before we do this i am interested in knowing a little about yourself, so that i know i am not wasting my time. hehehe

2ez2brich in NYC (Wall Street) hehehe


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2EZ2BRICH

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 95
From:NY
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posted August 22, 2000 04:43 PM

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make sure you do your research before investing in any stock, mutual fund etc. ask questions, ask questions oh yeah and ask questions. be an educated investor. the "motley fool's guide for investing" is a good book for people just starting out. there are many ways to invest your money. if you only have a little, you can start with a dividend reinvestment program (stocks) or you can set up a PIP (periodic investment plan) with a PIP, systematic purchases are made into a mutual fund. you can start a PIP with $25. with the dividend reinvest plan, you would have to buy 1 share and then send in money periodically. i know some who are sending in as low as $10 / month, for General Electric. the point is to start investing in something now. i don't know it all, if i can't answer a question for you, someone in my office can. start today my muscle head friends. put money aside for your "growth funds" (cycles) hehehe

[This message has been edited by 2EZ2BRICH (edited August 22, 2000).]


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BigTruck

Pro Bodybuilder

Posts: 326
From:Beyond The Pale
Registered: Jun 2000

posted August 22, 2000 04:54 PM

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2EZ -- I'm not disagreeing with you that in a broad sense, stocks have historically beat funds on a PERFORMANCE basis.

My point is that not all funds are designed for PERFORMANCE -- some are designed for income, some are designed for preservation, some are designed as a tax shelter -- they're not meant to be performance oriented. Therefore, averaging them in with performance-oriented funds if you want to compare performance doesn't make sense.

If you want to compare on a performance basis, you have to limit your selection of funds to only performance-oriented funds. For the most part, performance-oriented funds are comprised of stocks. Therefore when you limit your comparison to the abovementioned criteria, you're comparing stocks to stocks. That was my only point.

If I'm wrong, tell me me how -- I'm certainly not above learning and I'd imagine you don't get all those fancy licenses without knowing your stuff.

If you feel that it's a waste of your time, feel free not to read anything I write.

Later.

[This message has been edited by BigTruck (edited August 22, 2000).]


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GQ

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 83
From:Canada
Registered: Feb 2000

posted August 22, 2000 04:58 PM

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BUMP - I like this thread

GQ


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2EZ2BRICH

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 95
From:NY
Registered: Mar 2000

posted August 22, 2000 05:17 PM

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BigTruck;

I luv you man ! hehehe

we will learn from each other. the so called fancy licenses mean i knew how to sit down and study to pass. that's it. i learn something new every single day i am here. i am still a newbie to the investment game. let's help each other out. i look forward to reading what you write. you have been on point with almost everything you have said. i would assume you too work in the industry. you defintely don't sound like a newbie. take care muscle head ! and let's keep the investing post going. hehehe

2ez2brich


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BigTruck

Pro Bodybuilder

Posts: 326
From:Beyond The Pale
Registered: Jun 2000

posted August 22, 2000 05:27 PM

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2EZ -- It's all good bro! I agree, we can all learn from eachother.


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GQ

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 83
From:Canada
Registered: Feb 2000

posted August 22, 2000 05:35 PM

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This is turning out to be really long thread!
Imagine how long it would be if we started discussing things like derivative securities, hedging strategies, etc.

2EZ- What role do you play at the firm you work for? Are you into I-Banking? Financial Consulting? Just curious, as I'm trying to choose a career path myself.

GQ


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Jim Layhoe

Elite Bodybuilder

Posts: 812
From:ONTARIO,CANADA
Registered: May 2000

posted August 22, 2000 11:14 PM

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The longer it is the more we can learn.thanx bros.

I checked alot of shit out @ www.globeinvestor.com any cheep shit to take risks with also?

------------------
JIM LAYHOE [email protected]


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2EZ2BRICH

Amateur Bodybuilder

Posts: 95
From:NY
Registered: Mar 2000

posted August 23, 2000 07:24 AM

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a little story about 2ez- hehehe


in the business 8 yrs. my major in college was Actuarial Science and Risk Management. i was first in I-banking for , then Financial Consulting/Investment Advisory. a lot of number crunching / TA work and now i supervise (unit leader) operations at a B/D here in NY. i have a lot to still learn. ultimately, i want to earn a DBA, yet will be satisfied with a MBA. hehehe

2ez2brich


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