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12/30 NFL Dallas +8.5 @ Washington

  • Thread starter Thread starter Spartacus
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Spartacus

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Washington hates Dallas. Washington could make the playoffs with a win. Dallas is locked into the top spot in the NFC. The Redskins come off a big win over Minnesota and have covered four of five against Dallas heading into Week 17.

Oddsmakers currently have the Redskins listed as 9-point favorites versus the Cowboys, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

Tony Romo threw for 257 yards and a touchdown to lift the Cowboys over the Panthers 20-13 last week. The Cowboys could not cover the 11-point spread on the road, and the 33 points were UNDER the posted total of 42.5.

Marion Barber ran for 110 yards off 22 carries with one touchdown for the Cowboys.

The Redskins upset Minnesota 32-21 as a 6-point underdog in Week 16. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (40.5).

Todd Collins passed for 254 yards with two touchdowns for Washington, while Clinton Portis rushed for 76 yards and a touchdown and also threw a touchdown pass in the win.
 
Dallas head coach Wade Phillips has to decide how long he’ll play his starters and he hasn’t indicated that he’ll rest quarterback Tony Romo or any other healthy players for this game. WR Terrell Owens is out with a high ankle sprain and other wounded starters, including Pro Bowl C Andre Gurode, CB Terence Newman and starting DT Jay Ratliffe are likely to sit with various minor injuries. If Romo does not play at all, which would mean veteran Brad Johnson would get the start, then my math would favor Washington by 6 ½ points in this game after adjusting for the losses of Owens, Ratliffe and Newman (and using Johnson’s performance level in recent years). Washington needs to win this game to assure a playoff spot, but that has been more than factored into the line and I’ll lean with Dallas plus the points, as a 9 point spread is too much even if Tony Romo doesn’t play at all.
 
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