12/30 NFL Cincinnati @ Miami

[Spartacus]

Miami can finish its franchise-debacle season with two wins if it can beat the woeful Bengals in Week 17. History suggests they have a chance, as they have beaten Cincy eight of the past nine times.

Oddsmakers currently have the Bengals listed as 3-point favorites versus the Dolphins, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Bengals defeated Cleveland 19-14 as a 3-point underdog in Week 16. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (43.5).

Kenny Watson rushed for 130 yards on 30 carries with a touchdown for Cincinnati, while Carson Palmer completed 11-of-21 passes for 115 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.

The Dolphins lost to New England 28-7 as a 22-point underdog in Week 16. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (45).

Cleon Lemon completed 18-of-41 passes for 171 yards with a touchdown for Miami, while Greg Camarillo caught two passes for 26 yards and a touchdown

 

[blut wump]

Easy Miami win.

 

[Spartacus]

- Georges St. Pierre def. Matt Hughes via submission - Round 2, 4:54
- Chuck Liddell def. Wanderlei Silva via unanimous decision
- Eddie Sanchez def. Soa Palalei via TKO - Round 3, 3:24
- Lyoto Machida def. Rameau Sokoudjou via submission - Round 2, 4:20
- Rich Clementi def. Melvin Guillard via submission - Round 1, 4:40
- James Irvin def. Luis Cane via disqualification - Round 1, 1:51
- Manny Gamburyan def. Nate Mohr via submission - Round 1, 1:31
- Dean Lister def. Jordan Radev via unanimous decision
- Roan Carneiro def. Tony DeSouza via TKO - Round 2, 3:30
- Mark Bocek def. Doug Evans via unanimous decision

 

[Spartacus]

Miami is just 1-14 straight up this season, but Cincinnati is just 1-6 straight up on the road this season with their only road win coming against a bad Ravens team that also was Miami’s only victim of the season. My math model actually favors the Bengals by 5 ½ points in this game, but Cincinnati applies to a negative 10-40-3 ATS situation and a 43-85-4 ATS road letdown situation that is based on last week’s win over Cleveland. The situations going against Cincinnati are stronger than the line value favoring them and Miami will play hard knowing that Bill Parcells is going to be evaluating them after taking over as head of football operations this week. I’ll lean with Miami plus the points.

 

[rubberneck]

in

 

[blut wump]

This is starting to look like 24,000 blown K.