12/23 NFL new york Jets @ Tennessee

[Spartacus]

In the NFC, Tennessee would be in good shape at 8-6. In the AFC, 10-6 might still not be good enough to make the playoffs. The Titans won easily at KC and need a similar performance against the Jets to stay on the playoff track. The Jets blew an upset opportunity at Foxboro last week and have covered three in a row vs. Tennessee.

Oddsmakers currently have the Titans listed as 8½-point favorites versus the Jets, while the game's total is sitting at 37.

The Jets lost to New England 20-10 as a 20.5-point underdog in Week 15. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (41).

Chad Pennington completed 25-of-38 passes for 186 yards for the Jets, while Leon Washington rushed for 57 yards on four carries.

The Titans defeated Kansas City 26-17 as a 3.5-point favorite in Week 15. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (34.5).

Vince Young passed for 191 yards with two touchdowns for Tennessee, while Roydell Williams caught four passes for 94 yards with two touchdowns in the win

 

[sigourney_beaver]

The Jets are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games and should be 5-1 ATS (they gave up a spread covering TD to Cleveland when the Browns were trying to run out the clock) in those games. Tennessee is in a must win situation this week, but that’s why the line is so high. The oddsmakers know that amateurs like to bet on teams in must win situations so they adjust the line accordingly. However, teams in must win sistuations are only 48-75-4 ATS in the final two weeks of the regular season when facing a team that is mathematically eliminated from the playoffs. Tennessee hasn’t been able to stop the run since run-stuffing DT Albert Haynesworth injured his hamstring. Haynesworth has missed a few games and then came back but he hasn’t been the same and may not play this week. Tennessee was 0.6 ypr better than average defending the run in their first 8 games but the Titans have allowed 4.8 ypr in their last 6 games to teams that would average 4.2 ypr against an average team. The Jets have actually been the better team over the last 6 weeks an my math model favors Tennessee by only 3 ½ points. I like the Jet

 

[Spartacus]

ms beaver needs two more big bets

 

[motodawg]

I'll try and help

 

[Spartacus]

The oddsmakers know that amateurs like to bet on teams in must win situations so they adjust the line accordingly.

 

[crazyjoe]

in

 

[Spartacus]

 

[Megalomaniac]

That Jet is going to crash, bail out now!

 

[sigourney_beaver]

later bump