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12/23 NFL Kansas City @ Detroit

sigourney_beaver

New member
A losing streak will end Sunday, whether the Chiefs or Lions like it or not. Detroit and Kansas City just want the season over and it will be interesting to see how this game plays out. Of note, the Chiefs have won and covered the three meetings since 1995 and all three games played OVER.

Oddsmakers currently have the Lions listed as 5-point favorites versus the Chiefs, while the game's total is sitting at 43½.

The Chiefs lost to Tennessee 26-17 as a 3.5-point underdog in Week 15. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (34.5).

Brodie Croyle completed 25-of-43 passes for 217 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions for Kansas City, while Dwayne Bowe caught five passes for 64 yards.

The Lions lost to San Diego 51-14 as a 9.5-point underdog in Week 15. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (46).

Jon Kitna completed 26-of-45 passes for 302 yards with two touchdowns and five interceptions for Detroit and Calvin Johnson caught five passes for 102 yards.
 
Kansas City applies to 156-87-5 ATS situation while Detroit applies to a very negative 8-55-1 ATS situation. However, my math model favors the Lions by 7 points and that’s too much line value to give up to make this game a Best Bet. I’ll still lean with Kansas City against a Lions team that may throw in the towel after starting the season 5-2 and then getting eliminated from the post-season last week.
 
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