12/16 NFL Indianapolis @ Oakland

[Notorious_BIG]

Indy is getting healthy and riding a four-game win streak as they head west to Oakland. The Raiders were destroyed at Green Bay last week and could get a double whammy from the Colts. However, the Raiders have won three of the past four meetings against Indy.

Oddsmakers currently have the Colts listed as 11-point favorites versus the Raiders, while the game's total is sitting at 45.

The Colts defeated Baltimore 44-20 as a 9-point favorite in Week 14. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (42).

Peyton Manning threw four touchdown passes for the Colts, while Anthony Gonzalez caught six passes for 134 yards with two touchdowns.

The Raiders lost to Green Bay 38-7 as a 10.5-point underdog in Week 14. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (39.5).

Josh McCown completed 7-of-15 passes for 110 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions for Oakland, while Justin Fargas was held to 57 rushing yards on 15 carries.

 

[crazyjoe]

in

 

[puddlemonkey]

Colts

 

[Longhorn85]

Indy

 

[Notorious_BIG]

The Raiders were destroyed last week in Green Bay, but they won the two games prior to that debacle and are still playing hard for new coach Lane Kiffin. Oakland has a good rushing attack, which is a good characteristic for a home underdog to have, and my math model only favors the Colts by 8 ½ points in this game. The Raiders also apply to a decent 191-114-6 ATS statistical profile indicator that is 19-9-1 ATS when applying to home underdogs of 10 points or more. I’ll lean with the Raiders.