11/25 NFL Tennessee @ Cincinnati

[Spartacus]

Tennessee's march to the playoffs has been tripped up by a pair of losses and now they have a short week to prepare for the Bengals. But is this a lock? The Titan weakness (road passing defense) just happens to clash with Cincy's strength. Still, the Titans have won five straight trips here and will be favored again.

Oddsmakers currently have the Titans listed as 1½-point favorites versus the Bengals, while the game's total is sitting at 46½.

The Titans were upended 30-24 by the Broncos last time out, as slight 1-point underdogs. The 54 points sailed OVER the posted total pf 38.5.

Vince Young connected on 26-of-41 passes for 305 yards with a touchdown, and ran for 74 yards and a TD in the loss.

The Bengals lost to Arizona 35-27 as a 3-point favorite in Week 11. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (48).

Carson Palmer completed 37-of-52 passes for 329 yards with two touchdowns and four interceptions for Cincinnati and T.J. Houshmandzadeh caught eight passes for 87 yards and a touchdown.

www.bodoglife.com

 

[Spartacus]

other NFL games will get posted

 

[crazyjoe]

in

 

[Spartacus]

seems peeps have a hard time giving up on the bengals

 

[silverfish]

Ocho Cinco!!!

 

[Beaumont]

I can't believe Cincy just all of a sudden sucks. They must have something left. Maybe. Hopefully.

 

[Spartacus]

Cincinnati was one of the most overrated teams in the NFL in the first half of the season but that is no longer the case, as the oddmakers (i.e. public perception) have finally caught on that the Bengals are not a good team. The line value on this game actually is in favor the Cincy, as Tennessee is actually a below average team after dropping consecutive games to Jacksonville and Denver. The Titans are a better than average defensive team (4.8 yards per play allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.3 yppl against an average defense), but that unit has struggled with run-stuffing defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth sidelined the last two weeks (he’s questionable for this game). The Titans offense, however, is worse than the defense is good, rating at 0.8 yards per play worse than average with Vince Young at quarterback (4.7 yppl against teams that would allow 5.5 yppl to an average attack). Cincinnati is just slightly worse overall from the line of scrimmage, rating at 0.4 yppl better than average on offense and 0.7 yppl worse than average defensively, and my math model favors the Bengals by 2 points at home.