11/17 NCAAf Missouri @ Kansas St

[Spartacus]

The Missouri Tigers and the Kansas State Wildcats will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Snyder Family Stadium.

Oddsmakers currently have the Tigers listed as 7½-point favorites versus the Wildcats, while the game's total is sitting at 69.

The Tigers scored 16 points in the fourth quarter to defeat the Texas A & M Aggies 40-26 last time out. The Tigers failed to cover the 18-point spread at home, while the combined 66 points made it OVER the posted total of 61.

Chase Daniel completed 28-of-37 passes for 364 yards and three touchdowns.

The Wildcats were pounded 73-31 by the Nebraska Cornhuskers last time out, as 7.5-point favorites. The combined score sailed OVER the posted total of 62.

Josh Freeman completed 26-of-44 passes for 319 yards with two touchdowns in the loss.

 

[Spartacus]

Kansas State was embarrassed last week by Nebraska, losing 31-73 with their defense giving up 703 total yards at 9.0 yards per play. What happened to the stingy Kansas State defense we saw earlier in the season? Injuries happened. Top CB Joshua Moore was suspended early in the season and never saw action and the lack of depth of the Wildcats’ defensive backs has been exposed the last 3 weeks since CB Byron Garvin has been out. Kansas State’s pass defense went from good to bad in 3 weeks without Garvin and losing starting DT Steven Cline hurt the run defense. Kansas State is a worse than average defensive team now but the Wildcats can still compete in this game with a good offense and great special teams play. The Wildcats are among the nation’s best in special teams and an offense that rates at 0.5 yards per play better than average (5.9 yppl against teams that would combine to allow 5.4 yppl to an average team) has a slight edge over a Missouri defense that is 0.4 yppl better than average (5.1 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.5 yppl). The Tigers have a very good offense (6.6 yppl against teams that would allow 5.5 yppl) and my math model favors them by 9 points after adjusting for the current state of the Kansas State defense. However, Kansas State is 73-34 ATS at home since 1990 (8-3 ATS under coach Prince) and the Wildcats also apply to a solid 53-23-1 ATS home underdog bounce-back situation that is 13-1 ATS when applying to teams that allowed 41 points or more the previous week.

 

[NickyE3]

im going to this game

hoping KState pulls it out of their ass, but i doubt it

 

[motodawg]

the big 12 is for the most part up and down, with the exeption of Okla, Missouri, Kansas. Pretty sure Mizzou will win, not sure about the spread.......